Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Q1 Recap



The Theme for 2015 : 
"Expect The Unexpected"

  1. BOC cuts the Bank Rate by .25%
  2. Deflation takes centre stage.
  3. $US soars. Euro/$US hits lowest level since 2002.
  4. US economic growth stalls.
  5. No Fed rate increase (yet).
  6. Eurozone economy shows growth.
  7. Shenzen (China) has an approx. +38% return to lead global equity market performance.
  8. Other top performing markets:
  • Copenhagen (Denmark) +29%
  • Argentina +28%
  • Lisbon (Portugal) +25%
  • Germany +23%
  • Italy +22%

My 60/40 Model:

Best performing asset classes:
  • You guessed it!! International Equities!
  • Both Large Cap (large companies) and Emerging Markets up a little over 12%.
  • Canadian Inflation Indexed bond index was next best with a return of over 7%.
  • Canadian REIT index provided a return of a little under 7%.
Not so good performing asset classes (with some energy exposure):
  • Canadian Preferred Share index was down about 4%.
  • Canadian High Yield bonds down about 2%.
  • Canadian Small Cap (small companies) flat.
Total return for the 1st quarter was approx. 2.75% (before fees and taxes), projected to an annualized return this comes to a little over 11%.

Unexpectedly ahead of target.

However, much can happen in the short-term and most of these numbers will change as the year progresses.

In the long-term, we expect annual average returns of between 7 and 8% (before fees and taxes) over multiple years.

Stay Tuned.


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